Grand phases on the sun: a ‘mechanism” for unlocking more secrets on space weather?

Grand phases on the sun: a 'mechanism" for unlocking more secrets on space weather?.


Grand phases on the sun: a ‘mechanism” for unlocking more secrets on space weather?

As the co-author of the book that detailed the life of pioneering solar scientist E. Walter Maunder (The Maunder Minimum and the Variable Sun-earth Connection: World Scientific Press, 2004) I want to let you know that after two years’ interpreting the data and papers of Distinguished Solar Scientist Cornelis de Jager of the Netherlands (Janssons Medal winner, Royal Society Gold Medal winner, Hale Prize recipient) I present a low-cost book detailing some of his last and perhaps most important work.


Is there another repeatable cycle in the sun that could give us better clues regarding coming grand phases on the sun – or to be able to predict with more certainty than before “space weather”? De Jager believes so, due to tachocline and inertial (core) motion and transitions at precise points on the sun that herald chaotic – versus less chaotic – quasi harmonic symmetries (Hale/Gleissberg). Included are new insights into the Hallstatt Cycle (using Lockwood data) which may portend better news than expected regarding relegation to long-term deep solar minima. Knowing partially in advance of what might be transpiring on the sun means better preparation for protecting satellites, earth fuel-line links, earth-based electrical grids, and astronauts and space tourists.


As usual with my writing a good amount of solar science history is recounted in this work, along with summary implications for present space-based solar research (e.g. NASA’s SDO), the problems posed by our continuing limited grasp in knowing how our atmosphere works, and any human cultural and technological impacts that might arise on the horizon. This book is not a polemic but attempts at all hazards a balanced view on the current dichotomy regarding the troubling Sun-earth connection.


This is a short, low-cost, must-read in solar science in that crucial, often-forgotten holistic sense in the tradition of Kepler, and Heschel.


Please ask any interested parties to review it online at!/pages/Steven-Haywood-Yaskell/407976212610290




Steven Haywood Yaskell


Prof. Peter A. Ziegler: Solar effects drive climate change not CO2

The k2p blog

Prof. Peter Ziegler (b. 1928) is a Swiss geologist  and Titular Professor of Global Geology at the Geological-Paleontological Institute, University of Basel. He is a member of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Sciences, the Polish Academy of Arts and Sciences, the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences and the Academia Europaea. His presentation on the “Mechanisms of Climate Change” from February this year is pretty self-contained and self explanatory and my comments would only be superfluous.

Climate Change Ziegler 2013 (pdf)

I reproduce his conclusions slide below:

  • Climate change during industrial times can be fully explained by natural processes
  • During the last 550 Million years major natural climate changes involved large fluctuations in temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentrations
  • Apart from orbital forcing and the distribution of continents and oceans, variations in solar activity and the galactic cosmic ray flux controlled climate changes during the geological past and probably still do so
  • Despite rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations we may experience during the 

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smith: painting of jack smith lumberyard owner (not on a wall) sitting. may 1967

He took some thin savings

And a loan, risking low

Saving a company he thought

He could grow – and, did.

A son of small sin, 

The drinker his father; the loafer his,

Here he did not capitalize but, cheered on by the wind,

And by the Sun, took the chin

Music, the buckle of the belt and

Went at law’s consent.


Woe for a mother

Hardly known, he found

A likely lonely other;

Not first choice of red heat, nor fire of white light –

No: really only another empty vessel. Holding hands, sitting a-mast,

A one to build a life around, and to hers, his.


And he came to charity, cut luxuries

For himself when his workers went without

And – using no belt – taught his sons by example, shame.

He scorned not leftovers, nor the hand-kneaded

Bread; did not envy meat in his brief times of need.

Screeds he abhorred but lectured not against,

They beseeching him to grow his business, now well-known.

He smiled and told the congregants he’d already grown.


His sons missed the drafts,

One too young for Korea the other, too old for Vietnam.

He held his tongue when his wife, herself working,

Said, buy that house on Chautauqua, Fluvanna,

Searching for a starry place to ring with garden’s rest,

And her roses, and a house for her

And his many small things, to await death.


Sipping wine, watching wife prune roses at hill-spire Chautauqua sunset

Sons, industrious, virtuous not perfect; chastised by act,

Wonders Jack, thinking on many-a-known who’d failed or simply died

– Wife smiles, holds up for him a beauty –

Why he was so lucky.


Table of Contents for new book by S. H. Yaskell, Grand Phases On The Sun

Grand phases on the sun            

The case for a mechanism responsible for extended solar minima and maxima

 By Steven Haywood Yaskell

 Intro.             Only eight light minutes away

Chapter 1.      Comprehending, and contemplating, deep time

Chapter 2.       What is a grand solar phase versus a “regular” solar phase?

Chapter 3.       Grand solar phases in possible civilization-altering contexts

Chapter 4.     Widening perspectives of our sun in space: what does the Sun and

                        other  star  phenomena produce in the Sun-earth climate connection

                         – and what  could it  do to earth?

Chapter 5.      “Centers of activity” on the Sun : a linear view of the nonlinear

                        as an introduction to helioseismology

Chapter 6.      Total solar energy and particles, climate, Earth’s orbital considerations,

                         and the solar dynamo in the de Jager-Duhau synthesis

Chapter 7.      What a grand solar phase mechanism might reveal in the short term

Chapter 8.      A summary, some observations, and some closing thoughts